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Triad Guaranty Inc. Reports First Quarter Results
 

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C., May 15 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Triad Guaranty Inc. (Nasdaq: TGIC) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended March 31, 2009 of $55.2 million compared to a net loss of $122.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2008 and a net loss of $150.0 million for the first quarter of 2008. The 2009 first quarter diluted loss per share was $3.68 compared to a diluted loss per share of $8.16 for the 2008 fourth quarter and $10.09 for the first quarter of 2008.

Ken Jones, President and CEO, said, "During the first quarter of 2009, risk in default continued to increase as the combination of the recession and declines in home prices impacted our insured portfolio. While there were indications during the quarter that risk in default growth could be slowing on a monthly basis, we expect the challenging environment will continue for the foreseeable future. Although the growth in risk in default during the first quarter increased slightly from the fourth quarter of 2008, our incurred losses, and net loss, were substantially lower. During the first quarter, we realized significant benefits from the stop loss structures provided by our Modified Pool contracts and we continued to recognize benefits from our lender captive reinsurance programs in the Primary business line. The increased benefits from the risk-sharing structures were the primary reason for the decline in incurred losses, but the reported losses also benefited from a change to our reserve factors to incorporate updated expectations for future rescissions of loans currently in default. As a company in run-off, our primary focus remains the efficient and effective servicing of our insured portfolio, particularly with respect to loss management. Although we are pleased with the decline in incurred losses during the first quarter, we continue to operate in historically unprecedented times and the uncertainty regarding the deepening recession, continued declining home prices, and rising unemployment rates, among other considerations, could further adversely impact our future results of operations and financial condition."

Total insurance in force declined to $60.5 billion at March 31, 2009, a 3.4% drop from December 31, 2008 and a 10.6% decline from March 31, 2008. Our persistency rates have been very high over the past year as reduced credit availability and declining home prices limited the opportunities for borrowers to refinance existing mortgages. As credit becomes more available and home prices stabilize, however, we expect that our persistency rates and the related premium revenue will be negatively affected.

Total revenues grew to $50.9 million for the first quarter of 2009 from $41.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2008 and declined from $84.3 million for the first quarter of 2008. Earned premiums were lower for the first quarter of 2009 and the fourth quarter of 2008 as compared to the first quarter of 2008, primarily due to a non-cash accrual for premium refunds of $16.9 million and $13.5 million, respectively, related to expected premium refunds on rescissions. There was no accrual for premium refunds for expected rescissions in the first quarter of 2008. Non-cash impairment losses on invested assets of $5.6 million and $18.9 million for the first quarter of 2009 and the fourth quarter of 2008, respectively, also reduced revenue in those quarters. There were no investment impairments in the first quarter of 2008.

Net losses and loss adjustment expenses were $101.6 million for the first quarter of 2009, compared to $178.1 million for the fourth quarter of 2008 and $221.3 million for the first quarter of 2008. These year-over-year and sequential declines reflect the increased benefit from captive reinsurance programs and stop loss provisions contained in our Modified Pool contracts. For the first quarter of 2009, we recognized benefits of $97.4 million from risk-sharing structures, compared with $66.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2008 and $20.1 million in the first quarter of 2008. Paid losses for the first quarter of 2009 totaled $53.9 million, which reflected ceded cash recoveries on previously paid claims of $10.2 million from captive reinsurers. Paid claims were $69.4 million for the fourth quarter of 2008, including less than $1 million of ceded paid recoveries from captive reinsurance programs, and $40.1 million for the first quarter of 2008 with no ceded paid recoveries. We anticipate that paid losses will grow substantially in future quarters due to the expiration of the public and private foreclosure moratoriums previously in place. The change in reserves of $39.6 million during the first quarter of 2009 was significantly less than the $106.1 million change in the fourth quarter of 2008 and the $174.9 million change in the first quarter of 2008, again due primarily to the benefits of risk-sharing structures. Additionally, and as noted above, we adjusted our reserve factors in the first quarter of 2009 to incorporate updated expectations for future rescissions of loans currently in default.

Expenses were up moderately for the first quarter of 2009 as compared to the fourth quarter of 2008 due primarily to increased legal costs, and down significantly compared to the first quarter of 2008 due to the significantly reduced personnel costs from our transition into run-off. In addition, we wrote off the unamortized balance of the deferred acquisition cost asset in the first quarter of 2008 and no longer have any deferred acquisition cost amortization expense, which also contributed to the lower total expenses in the first quarter of 2009 as compared to the first quarter of 2008. Due to the existence of significant net operating loss carry forwards at March 31, 2009 and the probability of continued operating losses, the tax benefit recorded for the first quarter of 2009 reflects only the positive change in the valuation allowance established for the net deferred tax asset.

On March 31, 2009, the Illinois Director of Insurance issued a corrective order affecting our main insurance subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation ("Triad"). Effective no earlier than June 1, 2009, all valid claims under Triad's mortgage guaranty insurance policies will be paid 60% in cash and 40% by the creation of a deferred payment obligation ("DPO") payable to the insured. The DPO will accrue a carrying charge based on the investment yield earned by our investment portfolio. Payments of the carrying charge and the DPO will be subject to our future financial performance and will require the approval of the Illinois Director. Under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles, the DPOs, when issued, and the related accrued interest, will be recorded as liabilities.

We have updated the supplemental information for the 2009 first quarter results related to product differentiation, risk structures, additional portfolio characteristics and performance on our web site at www.triadguaranty.com. The supplemental information can be found under "Investors" and then under "Webcasts and Presentations" by the title "Supplemental Information - First Quarter 2009".

(Relevant Triad Guaranty Inc. financial and statistical information follows)

Triad Guaranty Inc.'s wholly owned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, is a nationwide mortgage insurer pursuing a voluntary run-off of its existing in-force book of business. For more information, please visit the Company's web site at www.triadguaranty.com.

Certain of the statements contained in this release are "forward-looking statements" and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include estimates and assumptions related to economic, competitive, regulatory, operational and legislative developments. These forward-looking statements are subject to change, uncertainty and circumstances that are, in many instances, beyond our control and they have been made based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effect on us. Actual developments and their results could differ materially from those expected by us, depending on the outcome of a number of factors, including our ability to operate our business in run-off, the possibility of general economic and business conditions that are different than anticipated, legislative, regulatory, and other similar developments, changes in interest rates, employment rates, the housing market, the mortgage industry and the stock market, as well as the relevant factors described under "Risk Factors" and in the "Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008 and in other reports and statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements are based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that arise after the date the forward-looking statements are made.

                              Triad Guaranty Inc.
                      Consolidated Statement of Operations


                                                         Three Months Ended
                                                             March 31,
                                                            (Unaudited)
                                                          2009        2008
                                                          ----        ----
                                                      (Dollars in thousands
                                                    except per share amounts)

      Earned premiums                                   $44,358     $72,065
      Net investment income                              11,192       9,546
      Net realized investment gains (losses)             (4,565)      2,703
      Other income                                            2           2
                                                            ---         ---
        Total revenues                                   50,987      84,316

        Net paid claims                                  53,920      40,471
        Change in reserves                               39,628     174,561
        Loss adjustment expenses                          8,029       6,227
                                                          -----       -----
      Net losses and loss adjustment expenses           101,577     221,259
      Net change in premium deficiency reserve                -      15,000
      Interest expense on debt                              694       1,476
      Policy acquisition costs                                -      39,416
      Other operating expenses - net                      9,411      14,105
                                                          -----      ------
      Loss before income taxes                          (60,695)   (206,940)

      Income tax benefit                                 (5,521)    (56,926)
                                                         ------     -------

      Net loss                                         $(55,174)  $(150,014)
                                                       ========   =========

      Diluted loss per share                             $(3.68)    $(10.09)

      Diluted weighted average common and common
       stock equivalents outstanding (in thousands)      14,994      14,869



                                Triad Guaranty Inc.
                            Consolidated Balance Sheet

                                         (Unaudited)               (Unaudited)
                                          March 31,   December 31,  March 31,
                                            2009          2008         2008
                                            ----          ----         ----
                              (Dollars in thousands except per share amounts)
    Assets:
      Invested assets:
         Fixed maturities, available
          for sale, at market              $904,904      $854,186     $746,380
         Equity securities, available
          for sale, at market                   491           583        1,957
         Short-term investments              13,136        40,653       11,736
                                             ------        ------       ------
                                            918,531       895,422      760,073

      Cash and cash equivalents              21,394        39,940       80,544
      Prepaid federal income tax                 15            15      115,598
      Reinsurance recoverable               182,589       150,848       93,244
      Other assets                           52,833        44,309       61,565
                                             ------        ------       ------

           Total assets                  $1,175,362    $1,130,534   $1,111,024
                                         ==========    ==========   ==========

    Liabilities:
      Losses and loss adjustment
       expenses                          $1,262,746    $1,187,840     $547,766
      Premium deficiency reserve                  -             -       96,073
      Unearned premiums                      15,958        15,863       19,169
      Deferred income tax                         -             -       61,522
      Long-term debt                         34,532        34,529       34,522
      Other liabilities                      43,519        28,968       13,530
                                             ------        ------       ------

          Total liabilities               1,356,755     1,267,200      772,582

    Stockholders' equity:
      Retained earnings (accumulated
       deficit)                            (310,683)     (255,509)     225,604
      Accumulated other comprehensive
       income                                16,316         6,063        2,328
      Other equity accounts                 112,974       112,780      110,510
                                            -------       -------      -------

         Total stockholders' equity
          (deficit in assets)              (181,393)     (136,666)     338,442
                                           --------      --------      -------

    Total liabilities and
     stockholders' equity                $1,175,362    $1,130,534   $1,111,024
                                         ==========    ==========   ==========


    Stockholders' equity (deficit
     in assets) per share:                  $(11.92)       $(9.01)      $22.39

    Common shares outstanding            15,215,378    15,161,259   15,117,733



                                Triad Guaranty Inc.
                        Consolidated Statement of Cash Flow


                                                          Three Months Ended
                                                              March 31,
                                                             (Unaudited)
                                                           2009        2008
                                                           ----        ----
                                                       (Dollars in Thousands)

    OPERATING ACTIVITIES
    Net loss                                             $(55,174)  $(150,014)
    Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash
     provided by operating activities:
      Increase in loss and unearned premium reserves       75,001     189,203
      Decrease (increase) in amounts due to/from
       reinsurer                                          (31,459)      2,676
      Net realized investment losses (gains)                4,565      (2,703)
      Policy acquisition costs deferred                         -      (3,173)
      Amortization of policy acquisition costs                  -      39,416
      Decrease in deferred income taxes                    (5,521)    (56,923)
      Redemption of Tax and Loss Bonds                          -         410
      Other operating activities                           15,923       7,005
                                                           ------       -----

    Net cash provided by operating activities               3,335      25,897
                                                            -----      ------

    INVESTING ACTIVITIES
      Purchases of investment securities                  (88,391)   (136,426)
      Sales and maturities of investment securities        38,942     103,870
      Decrease in short-term investments                   27,566      43,180
      Other investing activities                                2        (707)
                                                            -----        ----

    Net cash provided by (used in) investing
     activities                                           (21,881)      9,917
                                                          -------       -----

    FINANCING ACTIVITIES
      Repayments on credit facility                             -     (80,000)
                                                                -     -------

    Net cash used in financing activities                       -     (80,000)
                                                          -------     -------

    Foreign currency translation adjustment                     -         (81)
                                                              ---         ---

    Net decrease in cash                                  (18,546)    (44,267)
    Cash at beginning of period                            39,940     124,811
                                                           ------     -------

    Cash at end of period                                 $21,394     $80,544
                                                          =======     =======



                               Triad Guaranty Inc.
                  Sequential Quarterly Statistical Information
                                   (Unaudited)

                                  Mar 31,  Dec 31,  Sep 30,  Jun 30,  Mar 31,
                                   2009     2008     2008     2008     2008
                                   ----     ----     ----     ----     ----
                             (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)
    Insurance In Force
    ------------------

    Primary insurance in force:
       - Flow business           $37,881  $39,370  $40,451  $41,645  $42,086
       - Structured bulk
          transactions             3,780    3,902    4,065    4,248    4,374
                                   -----    -----    -----    -----    -----
           Total Primary
            insurance in force    41,662   43,272   44,516   45,894   46,459
    Modified Pool insurance in
     force                        18,825   19,312   19,823   20,439   21,187
                                  ------   ------   ------   ------   ------
           Total insurance in
            force                $60,487  $62,584  $64,339  $66,333  $67,646
                                 =======  =======  =======  =======  =======

    Number of insured loans:
       - Primary                 243,548  252,368  259,556  267,689  272,289
       - Modified Pool            90,553   92,687   95,089   97,960  101,723
                                  ------   ------   ------   ------  -------
           Total number of
            insured loans        334,101  345,055  354,645  365,649  374,012
                                 =======  =======  =======  =======  =======

    Primary net risk in force:
      - Flow business             $8,634   $8,972   $9,234   $9,524   $9,671
      - Structured bulk
         business                  1,256    1,298    1,358    1,425    1,470
                                   -----    -----    -----    -----    -----
           Total Primary net
            risk in force         $9,890  $10,270  $10,592  $10,949  $11,141
                                  ======  =======  =======  =======  =======

    Modified Pool risk in force
     net of stop loss               $812     $837     $853     $875     $903
      Deductibles on modified
       pool risk                     $72      $88      $95     $103     $108

    Primary flow insurance in
     force subject to captive
     reinsurance arrangements       55.3%    55.1%    57.6%    57.9%    58.8%

    Primary annual persistency
     rate                           86.9%    86.6%    85.8%    85.1%    83.3%



                                          Dec 31,  Sep 30,  Jun 30,  Mar 31,
                                           2007     2007     2007     2007
                                           ----     ----     ----     ----
                             (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)
    Insurance In Force
    ------------------

    Primary insurance in force:
       - Flow business                   $41,840  $40,610  $38,590  $35,366
       - Structured bulk transactions      4,525    4,700    4,133    2,616
                                           -----    -----    -----    -----
           Total Primary insurance in
            force                         46,365   45,310   42,724   37,982
    Modified Pool insurance in force      21,863   22,737   23,649   23,507
                                          ------   ------   ------   ------
           Total insurance in force      $68,228  $68,047  $66,373  $61,489
                                         =======  =======  =======  =======

    Number of insured loans:
       - Primary                         273,798  269,681  258,163  239,326
       - Modified Pool                   105,109  109,133  113,725  114,711
                                         -------  -------  -------  -------
           Total number of insured
            loans                        378,907  378,814  371,888  354,037
                                         =======  =======  =======  =======

    Primary net risk in force:
      - Flow business                     $9,642   $9,350   $8,866   $8,094
      - Structured bulk business           1,525    1,583    1,373      843
                                           -----    -----    -----      ---
           Total Primary net risk in
            force                        $11,166  $10,933  $10,239   $8,937
                                         =======  =======  =======   ======

    Modified Pool risk in force net of
     stop loss                              $913     $922     $935     $933
      Deductibles on modified pool risk     $112     $115     $117     $114

    Primary flow insurance in force
     subject to captive reinsurance
     arrangements                           59.0%    58.0%    56.8%    57.9%

    Primary annual persistency rate         81.4%    79.1%    77.7%    77.0%



                               Triad Guaranty Inc.
              Sequential Quarterly Statistical Information (con't.)
                                   (Unaudited)

                               Mar 31,     Dec 31,  Sep 30,  Jun 30,  Mar 31,
                                2009        2008     2008     2008     2008
                                ----        ----     ----     ----     ----
                             (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)
    Delinquencies and
     Claim Information
    ------------------

    Total Primary
     delinquent loans          28,646      24,241   19,441   16,075   13,322
      - Flow business          24,292      20,644   16,456   13,710   11,576
      - Bulk business           4,354       3,597    2,985    2,365    1,746

    Total Modified Pool
     delinquent loans          19,686      16,045   12,664   10,526    8,594
      - Structured with
         deductibles (1)       11,135       9,058    7,278    6,221    5,128
      - Structured without
         deductibles            8,551       6,987    5,386    4,305    3,466

    Total Primary
     delinquency rate           11.76%       9.61%    7.49%    6.01%    4.89%

    Modified Pool
     delinquency rate           21.74%      17.31%   13.32%   10.75%    8.45%

    Primary average paid
     severity ($ thousands)     $53.9       $58.4    $51.3    $52.4    $42.6
      - Flow business           $50.2       $54.2    $49.4    $49.3    $41.4
      - Bulk business           $88.8       $93.6    $77.5    $90.8    $68.3

    Primary direct paid
     claims ($ thousands)     $56,276     $64,647  $48,766  $48,187  $29,235
      - Flow business         $47,397     $53,698  $43,727  $41,921  $27,117
      - Bulk business          $8,879     $10,950   $5,040   $6,266   $2,119

    Modified Pool average
     paid severity
     ($ thousands)              $59.0       $63.4    $71.7    $55.6    $65.0

    Modified Pool direct
     paid claims
     ($ thousands)             $7,735      $4,943  $10,755  $20,192  $10,852

    Gross Case Reserves as
     percent of risk in
     default (2)                 40.0%       42.0%    45.4%    45.0%    40.5%

    Financial Information (3)
    -------------------------

    Loss ratio - GAAP           229.0%      357.3%   352.1%   419.0%   307.0%
    Expense ratio - GAAP         21.2%       17.7%    13.6%    39.4%    25.5%
                                 ----        ----     ----     ----     ----
    Combined ratio - GAAP       250.2%      375.0%   365.7%   458.4%   332.5%
                                =====       =====    =====    =====    =====

    Risk-to-capital ratio      27.0:1 (4) 125.2:1   39.7:1   42.7:1   27.7:1



                                           Dec 31,  Sep 30,  Jun 30,  Mar 31,
                                            2007     2007     2007     2007
                                            ----     ----     ----     ----
                              (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)
    Delinquencies and Claim Information
    -----------------------------------

    Total Primary delinquent loans         10,419    7,541    5,940    5,632
      - Flow business                       9,166    6,807    5,504    5,335
      - Bulk business                       1,253      734      436      297

    Total Modified Pool delinquent loans    6,402    4,826    3,913    3,366
      - Structured with deductibles (1)     4,072    3,104    2,508    2,176
      - Structured without deductibles      2,330    1,722    1,405    1,190

    Total Primary delinquency rate           3.81%    2.80%    2.30%    2.35%

    Modified Pool delinquency rate           6.09%    4.42%    3.44%    2.93%

    Primary average paid severity
     ($ thousands)                          $41.6    $36.9    $30.9    $31.3
      - Flow business                       $40.9    $36.9    $30.9    $31.1
      - Bulk business                       $63.9    $35.9    $30.1    $34.0

    Primary direct paid claims
     ($ thousands)                        $27,012  $23,058  $16,687  $16,447
      - Flow business                     $25,798  $22,090  $15,965  $15,122
      - Bulk business                      $1,214     $968     $722   $1,325

    Modified Pool average paid severity
     ($ thousands)                          $57.9    $41.3    $26.6    $23.7

    Modified Pool direct paid claims
     ($ thousands)                         $9,328   $5,413   $1,386   $1,281

    Gross Case Reserves as percent of
     risk in default (2)                     36.6%    32.1%    26.9%    27.3%

    Financial Information (3)
    -------------------------

    Loss ratio - GAAP                       262.1%   148.2%    60.1%    50.9%
    Expense ratio - GAAP                     20.8%    22.4%    21.9%    22.8%
                                             ----     ----     ----     ----
    Combined ratio - GAAP                   282.9%   170.6%    82.0%    73.7%
                                            =====    =====     ====     ====

    Risk-to-capital ratio                  20.5:1   17.8:1   16.0:1   13.8:1

    (1) We record reserves in our financial statements for defaults on
        contracts where the incurred losses have exceeded the amount of the
        deductible.
    (2) Reflects gross case reserves, which excludes IBNR and ceded reserves,
        as a percent of risk in default for total primary delinquent loans
        and total modified pool delinquent loans.
    (3) The Loss & Expense Ratios do not reflect any impact from
        establishment of Premium Deficiency Reserve.
    (4) Reflects the impact of the Corrective Order issued by the Illinois
        Director of Insurance effective March 31, 2009.



                                TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
                     Sequential Quarterly Financial Statements
                                    (unaudited)

                                  Condensed Statements of Operations
                                        For The Quarter Ended
                                        (Dollars in thousands)
                           --------------------------------------------------
                          Mar 31,    Dec 31,    Sep 30,    Jun 30,    Mar 31,
                           2009       2008       2008       2008       2008
                           ----       ----       ----       ----       ----
    Revenue:
      Earned premiums     $44,358    $49,840    $65,654    $69,864    $72,065
      Net investment
       income              11,192     10,509     10,349      9,175      9,547
      Realized
       investment
       gains (losses)      (4,565)   (18,944)    (6,519)    (3,799)     2,703
      Other income
       (loss)                   2          2          2          2          2
                           ------     ------     ------     ------     ------
        Total revenues     50,987     41,407     69,486     75,242     84,317
                           ------     ------     ------     ------     ------
    Losses and
     expenses:
         Net paid claims   53,920     69,372     59,357     68,263     40,471
         Change in
          reserves         39,628    106,080    165,958    218,568    174,561
         Loss
          adjustment
          expenses          8,029      2,647      5,879      5,918      6,227
                            -----      -----      -----      -----      -----
      Net losses and
       LAE                101,577    178,099    231,194    292,749    221,259
      Change in
       premium deficiency
       reserve                  -          -          -    (15,000)    15,000
      Interest
       expense on debt        694        694        691        696      1,476
      Amortization of DAC       -          -          -          -     39,416
      Other operating
       expenses             9,411      8,639      8,726     27,238     14,106
                            -----      -----      -----     ------     ------
        Total losses
         and expenses     111,682    187,432    240,611    305,683    291,257
                          -------    -------    -------    -------    -------
    Income (loss)
     before income taxes  (60,695)  (146,025)  (171,125)  (230,441)  (206,940)
      Income taxes
       (benefit)           (5,521)   (23,818)   (11,030)   (31,630)   (56,926)
                           ------    -------    -------    -------    -------
    Net income (loss)    $(55,174) $(122,207) $(160,095) $(198,811) $(150,014)
                         ========  =========  =========  =========  =========




                                          Condensed Statements of Operations
                                                For The  Quarter Ended
                                                (Dollars in thousands)
                                          -----------------------------------
                                          Dec 31,   Sep 30,   Jun 30,  Mar 31,
                                           2007      2007      2007     2007
                                           ----      ----      ----     ----
    Revenue:
      Earned premiums                    $73,130   $72,090   $69,732  $63,949
      Net investment income                9,544     8,370     7,673    7,349
      Realized investment gains
       (losses)                              (29)       85    (3,867)     761
      Other income (loss)                      2         2         2        2
                                          ------    ------    ------   ------
        Total revenues                    82,647    80,547    73,540   72,061
                                          ------    ------    ------   ------
    Losses and expenses:
         Net paid claims                  36,341    28,471    18,073   17,728
         Change in reserves              150,687    76,612    23,052   14,224
         Loss adjustment expenses          4,624     1,730       768      629
                                           -----     -----       ---      ---
      Net losses and LAE                 191,652   106,813    41,893   32,581
      Change in premium deficiency
       reserve                                 -         -         -        -
      Interest expense on debt             1,828     1,161       694      694
      Amortization of DAC                  4,637     4,567     4,670    4,624
      Other operating expenses            10,895    11,686    10,716   10,330
                                          ------    ------    ------   ------
        Total losses and expenses        209,012   124,227    57,973   48,229
                                         -------   -------    ------   ------
    Income (loss) before income taxes   (126,365)  (43,680)   15,567   23,832
      Income taxes (benefit)             (51,406)  (11,831)    3,541    6,510
                                         -------   -------     -----    -----
    Net income (loss)                   $(74,959) $(31,849)  $12,026  $17,322
                                        ========  ========   =======  =======



                                  Condensed  Balance Sheets As Of
                                      (Dollars in thousands)
                        -----------------------------------------------------
                       Mar 31,     Dec 31,     Sep 30,     Jun 30,    Mar 31,
                        2009        2008        2008        2008       2008
                        ----        ----        ----        ----       ----
    Assets
      Invested assets  $918,531    $895,422    $890,720    $869,022   $760,073
      Cash               21,394      39,940      47,818      19,669     80,544
      Real estate
       acquired             526         713       3,661       6,202      8,993
      Deferred policy
       acquisition
       costs                  -           -           -           -          -
      Prepaid federal
       income tax            15          15          15      63,184    115,598
      Reinsurance
       recoverable      182,589     150,848     111,827      55,316     93,244
      Other assets       52,307      43,596      47,915      50,405     52,572
                         ------      ------      ------      ------     ------
      Total assets   $1,175,362  $1,130,534  $1,101,956  $1,063,798 $1,111,024
                     ==========  ==========  ==========  ========== ==========

    Liabilities and
     stockholders'
     equity
      Liabilities:
        Losses and
         loss
         adjustment
         expenses    $1,262,746  $1,187,840  $1,042,053    $817,262   $547,766
        Premium
         deficiency
         reserve              -           -           -           -     96,073
        Deferred
         income
         taxes                -           -      22,889      30,386     61,522
        Borrowing
         under credit
         facility             -           -           -           -          -
        Long term
         debt            34,532      34,529      34,527      34,527     34,522
        Accrued
         expenses and
         other
         liabilities     59,477      44,830      30,887      40,714     32,699
                         ------      ------      ------      ------     ------
      Total
       liabilities    1,356,755   1,267,199   1,130,356     922,889    772,582
      Total
       stockholders'
       equity (deficit
       in assets)      (181,393)   (136,665)    (28,400)    140,909    338,442
                       --------    --------     -------     -------    -------
      Total
       liabilities and
       stockholders'
       equity        $1,175,362  $1,130,534  $1,101,956  $1,063,798 $1,111,024
                     ==========  ==========  ==========  ========== ==========


                                         Condensed  Balance Sheets As Of
                                              (Dollars in thousands)
                                       ------------------------------------
                                       Dec 31,    Sep 30,   Jun 30,  Mar 31,
                                        2007       2007      2007     2007
                                        ----       ----      ----     ----
    Assets
      Invested assets                 $784,539   $794,373  $674,199 $669,160
      Cash                             124,811     30,617    26,711   10,429
      Real estate acquired              10,860     12,566     7,923    9,765
      Deferred policy
       acquisition costs                36,243     35,574    35,157   35,035
      Prepaid federal income tax       116,008    168,817   170,076  166,693
      Reinsurance recoverable            5,815          2         1      211
      Other assets                      54,577     54,724    46,210   40,223
                                        ------     ------    ------   ------
      Total assets                  $1,132,853 $1,096,673  $960,277 $931,516
                                    ========== ==========  ======== ========

    Liabilities and
     stockholders' equity
      Liabilities:
            Losses and loss
             adjustment expenses      $359,939   $200,455  $122,061  $98,721
            Premium deficiency
             reserve                         -          -         -        -
            Deferred income taxes      123,297    170,477   177,888  180,232
            Borrowing under
             credit facility            80,000     80,000         -        -
            Long term debt              34,519     34,517    34,514   34,512
            Accrued expenses and
             other liabilities          36,247     39,754    31,191   30,898
                                        ------     ------    ------   ------
      Total liabilities                634,002    525,203   365,654  344,363
      Total stockholders' equity
       (deficit in assets)             498,851    571,470   594,623  587,152
                                       -------    -------   -------  -------
      Total liabilities and
       stockholders' equity         $1,132,853 $1,096,673  $960,277 $931,515
                                    ========== ==========  ======== ========


SOURCE Triad Guaranty Inc.