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Triad Guaranty Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter and Year End Results
 

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C., Feb. 27 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Triad Guaranty Inc. (Nasdaq: TGIC) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended December 31, 2008 of $122.2 million compared with a net loss of $160.1 million for the third quarter of 2008 and a net loss of $75.0 million for the fourth quarter of 2007. The 2008 fourth quarter diluted loss per share was $8.16 compared to a diluted loss per share of $10.69 for the 2008 third quarter and $5.05 for the fourth quarter of 2007.

The net loss for the year ended December 31, 2008 was $631.2 million compared to a net loss of $77.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2007. The diluted loss per share was $42.27 for 2008 compared to a diluted loss per share of $5.22 for 2007.

Ken Jones, President and CEO, said, "As a company in run-off, our primary focus remains on the efficient and effective servicing of our insured portfolio, particularly around loss mitigation. We continue to examine and refine all aspects of our default management and claims process, including our processes for investigating misrepresentation and fraud in the mortgage origination process. Our risk in default has continued to increase, which affects our financial results as we establish additional reserves for losses. Part of our effort to minimize losses is the review of early payment defaults to identify misrepresentation and fraud in the mortgage origination process. These reviews resulted in increased rescission activity during the fourth quarter of 2008. This increase in rescissions allowed us to adjust the frequency factors utilized in our reserve calculation, which has tempered the increase in our reserves. Additionally, the reserve increase in the fourth quarter was smaller than the prior three quarters in 2008 due in part to the benefits of structures such as captive reinsurance on our Primary business and stop losses on Modified Pool transactions that limited our net exposure."

Mr. Jones noted, "We continue to work closely with our primary regulator, the Illinois Division of Insurance, as well as with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Although we are reporting a deficiency in assets at December 31, 2008, most of the decline in stockholders' equity during 2008 resulted from the non-cash increase in our reserves for losses. Cash and invested assets actually increased during 2008, with positive cash flow from operations for 2008 amounting to $147.1 million. As of December 31, 2008, we reported gross reserves for losses of $1.2 billion, an increase of $827.9 million over December 31, 2007. Our success in managing this liability through proactive loss mitigation is now a major area of focus. Nevertheless, we find ourselves operating in historically unprecedented times and the uncertainty regarding the deepening recession, continued declining home prices, and rising unemployment rates, among other considerations, could further adversely impact our future results of operations and financial condition. Although we cannot effectively measure the impact of these factors, we are encouraged by, and supportive of, both the public and private efforts to avoid home foreclosures through loan modifications. While we cannot predict the success of these programs, they could significantly reduce the number and size of claims submitted to us for payment. Finally, it should be noted that no benefit has been recognized in these financial statements from our $95 million excess of loss reinsurance policy that is presently in arbitration."

Triad ceased issuing commitments for new mortgage insurance as of July 15, 2008, and is currently in run-off. Accordingly, production during the fourth quarter was insignificant. Total insurance in force declined to $62.6 billion at December 31, 2008, a 2.7% drop from September 30, 2008 and an 8.3% decline from December 31, 2007. We believe the primary reason for the lack of a more significant decline in our insurance in force during the fourth quarter was high persistency rates, as reduced credit availability and declining home prices limited the opportunities for borrowers to refinance existing mortgages. As these factors change in the future, our persistency rates and the resulting premium revenue will be correspondingly affected.

Total revenues declined to $41.4 million for the fourth quarter of 2008 from $69.5 million in the third quarter of 2008 and $82.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2007, reflecting two significant non-cash items. Earned premiums were lower primarily due to a non-cash accrual for premium refunds of approximately $17 million related to expected rescissions. Additionally, we recognized investment losses of $18.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2008, primarily the result of non-cash impairments relating to the decline in valuations in the financial markets.

Net losses and loss adjustment expenses were $178.1 million for the fourth quarter of 2008, compared to $231.2 million for the third quarter of 2008 and $191.7 million for the fourth quarter of 2007. The year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter declines in overall net losses and loss adjustment expenses reflects an increased benefit from future rescissions recognized in the fourth quarter of 2008, and the benefits of risk-sharing structures such as captive reinsurance programs and stop losses. For the fourth quarter of 2008, we recognized benefits of $68 million from risk-sharing structures, compared with $59 million in the third quarter of 2008 and $7 million in the fourth quarter of 2007. Paid losses for the 2008 fourth quarter totaled $69.4 million compared to $59.4 million for the third quarter of 2008 and $36.3 million in the 2007 fourth quarter. The recent implementation of foreclosure moratoriums by the GSEs and certain lenders as well as our loss mitigation and claims review efforts contributed to a lower than expected increase in paid losses in the fourth quarter of 2008. The fourth quarter change in reserves of $106.1 million was less than the $166.0 million change in the third quarter of 2008 and the $150.7 million change in the fourth quarter of 2007, which is due in part to the benefits of risk-sharing structures. Additionally, we increased our expectation for future rescissions based upon our experience through December 31, 2008.

Expenses were basically flat during the last two quarters of 2008 and down significantly compared to the first two quarters of 2008 and the fourth quarter of 2007 due to the transition of our business to run-off in July 2008. The decision to transition our business to run-off resulted in a significant reduction in personnel costs. In addition, we eliminated the deferred acquisition costs asset in the first quarter of 2008 and no longer have any deferred acquisition cost amortization expense, which reduced our expenses in the fourth quarter of 2008 as compared to the fourth quarter of 2007. The low effective tax rate for both the quarter and year ended December 31, 2008 reflects our inability to recognize the full tax benefit on our pre-tax loss, as we expect to be in a net operating loss carry forward position for the foreseeable future.

We have updated the supplemental information for the 2008 fourth quarter results related to product differentiation, risk structures, additional portfolio characteristics and performance on our web site at www.triadguaranty.com. The supplemental information can be found under "Investors" and then under "Webcasts and Presentations" by the title "Supplemental Information - Fourth Quarter 2008".

(Relevant Triad Guaranty Inc. financial and statistical information follows)

Triad Guaranty Inc.'s wholly owned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, is a nationwide mortgage insurer pursuing a voluntary run-off of its existing in-force book of business. For more information, please visit the Company's web site at www.triadguaranty.com.

Certain of the statements contained in this release are "forward-looking statements" and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include estimates and assumptions related to economic, competitive, regulatory, operational and legislative developments. These forward-looking statements are subject to change, uncertainty and circumstances that are, in many instances, beyond our control and they have been made based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effect on us. Actual developments and their results could differ materially from those expected by us, depending on the outcome of a number of factors, including our ability to complete a solvent run-off of our existing in-force book of business (which is dependent upon the continued support of the Illinois Division of Insurance), the possibility of general economic and business conditions that are different than anticipated, legislative, regulatory, and other similar developments, the appointment of FHFA as the conservator of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, our ability to satisfy the continued listing requirements of the NASDAQ stock market, changes in interest rates, the housing market, the mortgage industry and the stock market, as well as the factors described under "Risk Factors" and under "Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 and in other reports and statements that we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements are based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that arise after the date the forward-looking statements are made.

                               Triad Guaranty Inc.
                       Consolidated Statement of Operations




                                   Three Months Ended         Year Ended
                                       December 31,           December 31,

                                  (Unaudited) (Unaudited) (Unaudited)
                                      2008       2007         2008      2007
                                      ----       ----         ----      ----

                             (Dollars in thousands except per share amounts)

      Earned premiums              $49,839    $73,130     $257,422  $278,900
      Net investment income         10,510      9,544       39,581    32,936
      Net realized investment
       losses                      (18,944)       (29)     (26,559)   (3,049)
      Other income                       2          2            8         8
                                         -          -            -         -
        Total revenues              41,407     82,647      270,452   308,795

        Net paid claims             69,372     36,341      237,080   100,613
        Change in reserves         106,080    150,687      665,549   264,575
        Loss adjustment expenses     2,647      4,624       20,672     7,751
                                     -----      -----       ------     -----
      Net losses and loss
       adjustment expenses         178,099    191,652      923,301   372,939
      Interest expense on debt         694      1,828        3,557     4,375
      Policy acquisition costs           -      4,637       39,416    18,497
      Other operating
       expenses - net                8,639     10,895       58,709    43,628
                                     -----     ------       ------    ------
      Loss before income taxes    (146,025)  (126,365)    (754,531) (130,644)

      Income tax benefit           (23,818)   (51,406)    (123,404)  (53,186)
                                   -------    -------     --------   -------

      Net loss                   $(122,207)  $(74,959)   $(631,127) $(77,458)
                                 =========   ========    =========  ========

      Diluted loss per share        $(8.16)    $(5.05)     $(42.27)   $(5.22)

      Diluted weighted average
       common and common stock
       equivalents outstanding
       (in thousands)               14,980     14,839       14,930    14,829



                             Triad Guaranty Inc.
                         Consolidated Balance Sheet

                                                   (Unaudited)
                                                   December 31,  December 31,
                                                       2008          2007
                                                       ----          ----

                           (Dollars in thousands except per share amounts)
    Assets:
      Invested assets:
         Fixed maturities, available for
          sale, at market                          $854,186      $725,631
         Equity securities, available for
          sale, at market                               583         2,162
         Short-term investments                      40,653        56,746
                                                     ------        ------
                                                    895,422       784,539

      Cash and cash equivalents                      39,940       124,811
      Deferred policy acquisition costs                   -        36,243
      Prepaid federal income tax                         15       116,008
      Reinsurance recoverable                       150,848         5,815
      Other assets                                   44,309        65,437
                                                     ------        ------

           Total assets                          $1,130,534    $1,132,853
                                                 ==========    ==========

    Liabilities:
      Losses and loss adjustment expenses        $1,187,840      $359,939
      Unearned premiums                              15,863        17,793
      Revolving line of credit                            -        80,000
      Deferred income tax                                 -       123,297
      Long-term debt                                 34,529        34,519
      Other liabilities                              28,967        18,454
                                                     ------        ------

          Total liabilities                       1,267,199       634,002

    Stockholders' equity:
      Retained earnings (accumulated deficit)      (255,509)      375,618
      Accumulated other comprehensive income          6,063        13,405
      Other equity accounts                         112,781       109,828
                                                    -------       -------

         Total stockholders' equity
          (deficiency in assets)                   (136,665)      498,851
                                                   --------       -------

    Total liabilities and
     stockholders' equity                        $1,130,534    $1,132,853
                                                 ==========    ==========


    Stockholders' equity (deficiency in
     assets) per share:                              $(9.01)       $33.43

    Common shares outstanding                    15,161,259    14,920,243



                            Triad Guaranty Inc.
                    Consolidated Statement of Cash Flow

                                                  Year Ended December 31,
                                                      2008      2007
                                                      ----      ----
                                                  (Unaudited)
                                                  (Dollars in Thousands)

    OPERATING ACTIVITIES
    Net loss                                       $(631,127) $(77,458)
    Adjustments to reconcile net loss to
     net cash provided by operating activities:
      Increase in loss and unearned premium
       reserves                                      825,971   280,187
      Decrease (increase) in amounts due to/from
       reinsurer                                    (150,839)      616
      Net realized investment losses                  26,559     3,049
      Policy acquisition costs deferred               (3,173)  (19,597)
      Amortization of policy acquisition costs        39,416    18,497
      Decrease in deferred income taxes             (121,391)  (53,181)
      Redemption of Tax and Loss Bonds               115,993    50,900
      Other operating activities                      45,730   (11,937)
                                                      ------   -------

    Net cash provided by operating activities        147,139   191,076
                                                     -------   -------

    INVESTING ACTIVITIES
      Purchases of investment securities            (839,372) (299,047)
      Sales and maturities of investment
       securities                                    674,688   165,348
      Decrease (increase) in short-term
       investments                                    14,074   (51,445)
      Other investing activities                      (1,295)   (6,052)
                                                      ------    ------

    Net cash used in investing activities           (151,905) (191,196)
                                                    --------  --------

    FINANCING ACTIVITIES
      Borrowings (repayments) on credit facility     (80,000)   80,000
      Excess tax benefits related to share based
       compensation                                       15       175
      Proceeds from exercise of stock options              -       616
                                                           -       ---

    Net cash provided by (used in) financing
     activities                                      (79,985)   80,791
                                                     -------    ------

    Foreign currency translation adjustment             (120)    5,531
                                                        ----     -----

    Net decrease in cash                             (84,871)   86,202
    Cash at beginning of period                      124,811    38,609
                                                     -------    ------

    Cash at end of period                            $39,940  $124,811
                                                     =======  ========



                              Triad Guaranty Inc.
                 Sequential Quarterly Statistical Information
                                  (Unaudited)

                                          Dec 31,  Sep 30,  Jun 30,  Mar 31,
                                           2008     2008     2008     2008
                                           ----     ----     ----     ----
                    (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)
    Insurance In Force
    ------------------

    Primary insurance in force:
       - Flow business                  $39,370  $40,451  $41,645  $42,086
       - Structured bulk transactions     3,902    4,065    4,248    4,374
                                          -----    -----    -----    -----
           Total Primary insurance in
            force                        43,272   44,516   45,894   46,459
    Modified Pool insurance in force     19,312   19,823   20,439   21,187
                                         ------   ------   ------   ------
           Total insurance in force     $62,584  $64,339  $66,333  $67,646
                                        =======  =======  =======  =======

    Number of insured loans:
       - Primary                        252,368  259,556  267,689  272,289
       - Modified Pool                   92,687   95,089   97,960  101,723
                                         ------   ------   ------  -------
           Total number of insured
            loans                       345,055  354,645  365,649  374,012
                                        =======  =======  =======  =======

    Primary net risk in force:
      - Flow business                    $8,972   $9,234   $9,524   $9,671
      - Structured bulk business          1,298    1,358    1,425    1,470
                                          -----    -----    -----    -----
           Total Primary net risk in
            force                       $10,270  $10,592  $10,949  $11,141
                                        =======  =======  =======  =======

    Modified Pool risk in force net of
     stop loss                             $837     $853     $875     $903
      Deductibles on modified pool risk     $88      $95     $103     $108

    Primary flow insurance in force
     subject to captive reinsurance
     arrangements                          57.6%    57.6%    57.9%    58.8%

    Primary annual persistency rate        86.6%    85.8%    85.1%    83.3%



                                          Dec 31,  Sep 30,  Jun 30,  Mar 31,
                                           2007     2007     2007     2007
                                           ----     ----     ----     ----
                            (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)
    Insurance In Force
    ------------------

    Primary insurance in force:
       - Flow business                  $41,840  $40,610  $38,590  $35,366
       - Structured bulk transactions     4,525    4,700    4,133    2,616
                                          -----    -----    -----    -----
           Total Primary insurance in
            force                        46,365   45,310   42,724   37,982
    Modified Pool insurance in force     21,863   22,737   23,649   23,507
                                         ------   ------   ------   ------
           Total insurance in force     $68,228  $68,047  $66,373  $61,489
                                        =======  =======  =======  =======

    Number of insured loans:
       - Primary                        273,798  269,681  258,163  239,326
       - Modified Pool                  105,109  109,133  113,725  114,711
                                        -------  -------  -------  -------
           Total number of insured
            loans                       378,907  378,814  371,888  354,037
                                        =======  =======  =======  =======

    Primary net risk in force:
      - Flow business                    $9,642   $9,350   $8,866   $8,094
      - Structured bulk business          1,525    1,583    1,373      843
                                          -----    -----    -----      ---
           Total Primary net risk in
            force                       $11,166  $10,933  $10,239   $8,937
                                        =======  =======  =======   ======

    Modified Pool risk in force net of
     stop loss                             $913     $922     $935     $933
      Deductibles on modified pool risk    $112     $115     $117     $114

    Primary flow insurance in force
     subject to captive reinsurance
     arrangements                          59.0%    58.0%    56.8%    57.9%

    Primary annual persistency rate        81.4%    79.1%    77.7%    77.0%


                                                                     Dec 31,
                                                                      2006
                                                                      ----
                            (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)
    Insurance In Force
    ------------------

    Primary insurance in force:
       - Flow business                                             $32,779
       - Structured bulk transactions                                1,330
                                                                     -----
           Total Primary insurance in force                         34,109
    Modified Pool insurance in force                                22,719
                                                                    ------
           Total insurance in force                                $56,828
                                                                   =======

    Number of insured loans:
       - Primary                                                   225,531
       - Modified Pool                                             112,555
                                                                   -------
           Total number of insured loans                           338,086
                                                                   =======

    Primary net risk in force:
      - Flow business                                               $7,447
      - Structured bulk business                                       377
                                                                       ---
           Total Primary net risk in force                          $7,824
                                                                    ======

    Modified Pool risk in force net of stop loss                      $890
      Deductibles on modified pool risk                               $101

    Primary flow insurance in force subject to
       captive reinsurance arrangements                               61.0%

    Primary annual persistency rate                                   76.6%



                           Triad Guaranty Inc.
          Sequential Quarterly Statistical Information (con't.)
                               (Unaudited)

                               Dec 31,  Sep 30,  Jun 30,      Mar 31,
                                2008     2008     2008         2008
                                ----     ----     ----         ----
                         (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)

    Delinquencies and
     Claim Information
    ------------------

    Total Primary
     delinquent loans         24,241   19,441   16,075       13,322
      - Flow business         20,644   16,456   13,710       11,576
      - Bulk business          3,597    2,985    2,365        1,746

    Total Modified Pool
     delinquent loans         16,045   12,664   10,526        8,594
      - Structured with
         deductibles (1)       9,058    7,278    6,221        5,128
      - Structured without
         deductibles           6,987    5,386    4,305        3,466

    Total Primary
     delinquency rate           9.61%    7.49%    6.01%        4.89%

    Modified Pool
     delinquency rate          17.31%   13.32%   10.75%        8.45%

    Primary average paid
     severity ($ thousands)    $58.4    $51.3    $52.4        $42.6
      - Flow business          $54.2    $49.4    $49.3        $41.4
      - Bulk business          $93.6    $77.5    $90.8        $68.3

    Primary net paid claims
     ($ thousands)           $64,488  $48,766  $48,071      $29,209
      - Flow business        $53,538  $43,727  $41,805      $27,091
      - Bulk business        $10,950   $5,040   $6,266       $2,119

    Modified Pool average
     paid severity
     ($  thousands)            $63.4    $71.7    $55.6        $65.0

    Modified Pool net paid
     claims ($ thousands)     $4,943  $10,755  $20,192      $10,852

    Gross Case Reserves as
     percent of risk in
     default (2)                42.0%    45.4%    45.0%        40.5%

    Financial Information (3)
    -------------------------

    Loss ratio - GAAP          357.3%   352.1%   419.0%       307.0%
    Expense ratio - GAAP        17.7%    13.6%    39.4%        25.5%
                                ----     ----     ----         ----
    Combined ratio - GAAP      375.0%   365.7%   458.4%       332.5%
                               =====    =====    =====        =====

    Risk-to-capital ratio    125.2:1   39.7:1   42.7:1       27.7:1



                               Dec 31,  Sep 30,  Jun 30,    Mar 31,  Dec 31,
                                2007     2007     2007       2007     2006
                                ----     ----     ----       ----     ----
                           (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)

    Delinquencies and Claim
     Information
    -----------------------

    Total Primary
     delinquent loans         10,419    7,541    5,940      5,632    5,565
      - Flow business          9,166    6,807    5,504      5,335    5,265
      - Bulk business          1,253      734      436        297      300

    Total Modified Pool
     delinquent loans          6,402    4,826    3,913      3,366    3,001
      - Structured with
         deductibles (1)       4,072    3,104    2,508      2,176    1,897
      - Structured without
         deductibles           2,330    1,722    1,405      1,190    1,104

    Total Primary
     delinquency rate           3.81%    2.80%    2.30%      2.35%    2.47%

    Modified Pool
     delinquency rate           6.09%    4.42%    3.44%      2.93%    2.67%

    Primary average paid
     severity ($ thousands)    $41.6    $36.9    $30.9      $31.3    $28.1
      - Flow business          $40.9    $36.9    $30.9      $31.1    $27.9
      - Bulk business          $63.9    $35.9    $30.1      $34.0    $29.8

    Primary net paid claims
     ($ thousands)           $27,012  $23,058  $16,687    $16,447  $15,100
      - Flow business        $25,798  $22,090  $15,965    $15,122  $13,880
      - Bulk business         $1,214     $968     $722     $1,325   $1,220

    Modified Pool average
     paid severity ($
     thousands)                $57.9    $41.3    $26.6      $23.7    $26.2

    Modified Pool net paid
     claims ($ thousands)     $9,328   $5,413   $1,386     $1,281   $1,493

    Gross Case Reserves as
     percent of risk in
     default (2)                36.6%    32.1%    26.9%      27.3%    27.0%

    Financial Information (3)
    -------------------------

    Loss ratio - GAAP          262.1%   148.2%    60.1%      50.9%    70.9%
    Expense ratio - GAAP        20.8%    22.4%    21.9%      22.8%    22.8%
                                ----     ----     ----       ----     ----
    Combined ratio - GAAP      282.9%   170.6%    82.0%      73.7%    93.7%
                               =====    =====     ====       ====     ====

    Risk-to-capital ratio     20.5:1   17.8:1   16.0:1     13.8:1   12.5:1


    (1) We record reserves in our financial statements for defaults on
        contracts where the incurred losses have exceeded the amount of the
        deductible.
    (2) Reflects gross case reserves, which excludes IBNR and ceded reserves,
        as a percent of risk in default for total primary delinquent loans and
        total modified pool delinquent loans.
    (3) The Loss & Expense Ratios do not reflect any impact from establishment
        of Premium Deficiency Reserve.



                                TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
                     Sequential Quarterly Financial Statements
                                    (unaudited)

                                     Condensed Statements of Operations For
                                                The Quarter Ended
                                             (Dollars in thousands)
                                             ----------------------
                                     Dec 31,    Sep 30,    Jun 30,    Mar 31,
                                      2008       2008       2008       2008
                                      ----       ----       ----       ----
    Revenue:
      Earned premiums              $49,839    $65,654    $69,864    $72,065
      Net investment income         10,510     10,349      9,175      9,547
      Realized investment gains
       (losses)                    (18,944)    (6,519)    (3,799)     2,703
      Other income (loss)                2          2          2          2
                                         -          -          -          -
        Total revenues              41,407     69,486     75,242     84,317
                                    ------     ------     ------     ------
    Losses and expenses:
         Net paid claims            69,372     59,357     68,263     40,088
         Change in reserves        106,080    165,958    218,568    174,944
         Loss adjustment
          expenses                   2,647      5,879      5,918      6,227
                                     -----      -----      -----      -----
      Net losses and LAE           178,099    231,194    292,749    221,259
      Change in premium
       deficiency reserve                -          -    (15,000)    15,000
      Interest expense on debt         694        691        696      1,476
      Amortization of DAC                -          -          -     39,416
      Other operating expenses       8,639      8,726     27,238     14,106
                                     -----      -----     ------     ------
        Total losses and
         expenses                  187,432    240,611    305,683    291,257
                                   -------    -------    -------    -------
    Income (loss) before
     income taxes                 (146,025)  (171,125)  (230,441)  (206,940)
      Income taxes (benefit)       (23,818)   (11,030)   (31,630)   (56,926)
                                   -------    -------    -------    -------
    Net income (loss)            $(122,207) $(160,095) $(198,811) $(150,014)
                                  =========  =========  =========  =========



                                  Dec 31,   Sep 30,  Jun 30,  Mar 31, Dec 31,
                                   2007      2007     2007     2007    2006
                                   ----      ----     ----     ----    ----
    Revenue:
      Earned premiums           $73,130   $72,090  $69,732  $63,949 $58,222
      Net investment income       9,544     8,370    7,673    7,349   7,178
      Realized investment
       gains (losses)               (29)       85   (3,867)     761     (52)
      Other income (loss)             2         2        2        2       2
                                      -         -        -        -       -
        Total revenues           82,647    80,547   73,540   72,061  65,350
                                 ------    ------   ------   ------  ------
    Losses and expenses:
         Net paid claims         36,341    28,471   18,073   17,728  16,593
         Change in reserves     150,687    76,612   23,052   14,224  23,325
         Loss adjustment
          expenses                4,624     1,730      768      629   1,382
                                  -----     -----      ---      ---   -----
      Net losses and LAE        191,652   106,813   41,893   32,581  41,300
      Change in premium
       deficiency reserve             -         -        -        -       -
      Interest expense
       on debt                    1,828     1,161      694      694     694
      Amortization of DAC         4,637     4,567    4,670    4,624   4,179
      Other operating
       expenses                  10,895    11,686   10,716   10,330   9,268
                                 ------    ------   ------   ------   -----
        Total losses and
         expenses               209,012   124,227   57,973   48,229  55,441
                                -------   -------   ------   ------  ------
    Income (loss) before
     income taxes              (126,365)  (43,680)  15,567   23,832   9,909
      Income taxes (benefit)    (51,406)  (11,831)   3,541    6,510   1,806
                                -------   -------    -----    -----   -----
    Net income (loss)          $(74,959) $(31,849) $12,026  $17,322  $8,103
                               ========  ========  =======  =======  ======



                                      Condensed  Balance Sheets As Of
                                           (Dollars in thousands)
                                           ----------------------
                                    Dec 31,     Sep 30,     Jun 30,    Mar 31,
                                     2008        2008        2008       2008
                                     ----        ----        ----       ----
    Assets
      Invested assets            $895,422    $890,720    $869,022   $760,073
      Cash                         39,940      47,818      19,669     80,544
      Real estate acquired            713       3,661       6,202      8,993
      Deferred policy
       acquisition costs                -           -           -          -
      Prepaid federal
       income tax                      15          15      63,184    115,598
      Reinsurance recoverable     150,848     111,827      55,316     93,244
      Other assets                 43,596      47,915      50,405     52,572
                                   ------      ------      ------     ------
      Total assets             $1,130,534  $1,101,956  $1,063,798 $1,111,024
                               ==========  ==========  ========== ==========

    Liabilities and
     stockholders' equity
      Liabilities:
         Losses and loss
          adjustment expenses  $1,187,840  $1,042,053    $817,262   $547,766
         Premium deficiency
          reserve                       -           -           -     96,073
         Deferred income taxes          -      22,889      30,386     61,522
         Borrowing under
          credit facility               -           -           -          -
         Long term debt            34,529      34,527      34,527     34,522
         Accrued expenses and
          other liabilities        44,830      30,887      40,714     32,699
                                   ------      ------      ------     ------
      Total liabilities         1,267,199   1,130,356     922,889    772,582
      Total stockholders'
       equity (deficiency
       in assets)                (136,665)    (28,400)    140,909    338,442
                                 --------     -------     -------    -------
      Total liabilities
       and stockholders'
       equity                  $1,130,534  $1,101,956  $1,063,798 $1,111,024
                               ==========  ==========  ========== ==========



                                        Dec 31,    Sep 30,   Jun 30,  Mar 31,
                                          2007       2007     2007     2007
                                          ----       ----     ----     ----
    Assets
      Invested assets                 $784,539   $794,373 $674,199 $669,160
      Cash                             124,811     30,617   26,711   10,429
      Real estate acquired              10,860     12,566    7,923    9,765
      Deferred policy
       acquisition costs                36,243     35,574   35,157   35,035
      Prepaid federal income tax       116,008    168,817  170,076  166,693
      Reinsurance recoverable            5,815          2        1      211
      Other assets                      54,577     54,724   46,210   40,223
                                        ------     ------   ------   ------
      Total assets                  $1,132,853 $1,096,673 $960,277 $931,516
                                    ========== ========== ======== ========

    Liabilities and
     stockholders' equity
      Liabilities:
         Losses and loss
          adjustment expenses         $359,939   $200,455 $122,061  $98,721
         Premium deficiency
          reserve                            -          -        -        -
         Deferred income taxes         123,297    170,477  177,888  180,232
         Borrowing under
          credit facility               80,000     80,000        -        -
         Long term debt                 34,519     34,517   34,514   34,512
         Accrued expenses and
          other liabilities             36,247     39,754   31,191   30,898
                                        ------     ------   ------   ------
      Total liabilities                634,002    525,203  365,654  344,363
      Total stockholders'
       equity (deficiency
       in assets)                      498,851    571,470  594,623  587,152
                                       -------    -------  -------  -------
      Total liabilities and
       stockholders' equity         $1,132,853 $1,096,673 $960,277 $931,515
                                    ========== ========== ======== ========



                                                                      Dec 31,
                                                                       2006
                                                                       ----
    Assets
      Invested assets                                              $607,312
      Cash                                                           38,609
      Real estate acquired                                           10,170
      Deferred policy acquisition costs                              35,143
      Prepaid federal income tax                                    166,908
      Reinsurance recoverable                                           840
      Other assets                                                   36,648
                                                                     ------
      Total assets                                                 $895,630
                                                                   ========

    Liabilities and stockholders' equity
      Liabilities:
            Losses and loss adjustment expenses                     $84,352
            Premium deficiency reserve                                    -
            Deferred income taxes                                   176,483
            Borrowing under credit facility                               -
            Long term debt                                           34,510
            Accrued expenses and other liabilities                   30,062
                                                                     ------
      Total liabilities                                             325,407
      Total stockholders' equity (deficiency in assets)             570,224
                                                                    -------
      Total liabilities and stockholders' equity                   $895,631
                                                                   ========


SOURCE Triad Guaranty Inc.